May
08
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Friday, 09 May 2008 |
Entire High Value Target lists will be captured, incarcerated, interrogated, executed...or shot on sight.
But it will make little difference over the course of time. I have seen this with my own eyes.
The cemetaries of the world are filled with indespensible men and an insurgency is filled with despinsible men.
Pressure must be placed on insurgent networks and personnel. The insurgents must be hunted and disrupted. But the capture or killing of one or a few or many is not the goal.
The goal is to eliminate the insurgency's ability to operate.
Much in the way that the killing of Pablo Escobar did not eliminate or slow down the cocaine trade, the capture of the latest insurgent leader will not stop the terror and mayhem.
In the cocaine business, the potential for profit is to high for the vacuume not to be filled.
For the insurgent, it is the same, but the currency is the success of the movement.
The better allocation of resources is in those tactics that deny the insurgency the ability to succeed, rather than targetting successful insurgents.
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May
06
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Tuesday, 06 May 2008 |
Build a fence, a short fence.
Once you know who lives in a village or neighborhood, control the flow of people in and out through a physical barrier.
The regulation will be that the only way in and out will be through a designated gate(s). People leaving and exiting will be compared against the list of residents.
Those who are not supposed to be in the village or neighborhood will not be able to use the designated gate. They will have to cross the fence.
Make sure the fence is short enough to be crossed. You want people to able to jump the fence so you know who to target, track and observe. They will lead you to the insurgents.
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May
05
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Monday, 05 May 2008 |
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The insurgent hides in plain sight.
Geneva Conventions, the so-called rules governing warfare, require combatants to wear uniforms or, at a minimum, bear arms to distinguish themselves from civillians.
The insurgent will not do this, for it would eliminate his only advantage--invisibility.
To take away the invisibility of the insurgent, make a perfect list.
Abraham Lincoln wrote, when laying out the strategies for winning an election--
"Organize the whole state, so that every Whig can be brought to the polls...
...Divide (the) country into small districts, and... appoint in each a subcommittee.
...Make a perfect list of all the voters and... ascertain with certainty for whom they will vote.
...Keep a constant watch on doubtful voters, and... have them talked to by
those in whom they have the most confidence.
...And on Election Day, see that every Whig is brought to the polls."
So to must the counterinsurgent follow these steps. An entire nation or province is too large, but a Company sized area of operations can be organized and a perfect list, complete with photos and possibly biometric data, developed and their family and political loyalties ascertained with a degree of certainty.
A constant eye can be kept on those who are suspicious. Have them talked to by those whom they trust and the counterinsurgents trust.
If evidence is obtained that they are insurgents, do not arrest them right away as they may unwittingly lead you to more.
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May
02
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Friday, 02 May 2008 |
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The insurgent swims among the people like a fish, therefore so must the counter insurgent swim among the people. A Humvee or MRAP or Stryker or Bradley is like a boat, skimming above the people.
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May
01
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Thursday, 01 May 2008 |
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Drink the tea, eat the lamb, carry a
bottle of Immodium. Drink another cup of tea. Ask about
his family. Talk about his family, especially his sons and brothers.
"Enta mizzawege?" he will ask.
He wants to know if you are married and have kids.
In Iraq, the khams system is alive.
That means the basic clan structure is based on common ancestry for
up to five generations.
Understand the geneology of your area
of operations and you have a map of the relationships in your area of
operations.
(COIN - counterinsurgency)
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Please help support Outside the Wire by purchasing a DVD !
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Apr
18
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Friday, 18 April 2008 |
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Any smart man can catalogue the errors of others. A wise man can learn from those errors.
It takes a truly brilliant man to overcome those errors.
Dr. Joseph Collins, a retired Army Colonel, former Deputy Ass. Sec. Def. and now professor at the National Defense University has published a paper that many smart men already have published.
He even looks at ways to possibly learn from those errors.
And for that he will earn much ink and air-time .
But I am not a pessimist looking backward. Or an optimist looking forward.
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Read more...
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Apr
03
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Thursday, 03 April 2008 |
Via Hotair Headlines the NEFA foundation has released the transcript of Zawahiri's Q&A with the Muslim community .
I have only made my way through the first 18 pages, but if this transcript is accurate--it is obvious that Al Qaida, as a political entity, is having problems with the base.
In a previous life, I managed a lot of political campaigns, and a communcation like this is addressed to the base to bring them back into the fold.
The key concern of the base: why is al Qaida killing more Muslims than crusaders? Is it true that al Qaida is cooperating with Iran? Why do you bash Hamas?
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Read more...
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Mar
29
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Saturday, 29 March 2008 |
The recent uptick of rocket attacks is a reminder...it takes a long time to extinguish an insurgency.
Colonel G.I. Wilson, who appears in my documentaries, had this to say about his greatest fear--that we think we have won, before the job is done.
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Read more...
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Mar
03
2008
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Written by JD Johannes
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Monday, 03 March 2008 |
Not Machines.
Was the lesson of John Boyd.
And that lesson is the over-arching tactical change brought about by the surge.
For the Marines, it is making its way into the pre-deployment training program with 'Combat Hunter'.
Combat Hunter emphasizes observation and aggression by what Colonel G.I. Wilson calls 'the most sophisticated intelligence, reconniassance and surveilance platform available.' A human.
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Read more...
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